Blog
Welcome to a space dedicated to the art and science of decision-making. Here, we explore decision science—a fascinating field that brings together subjects including (but not limited to) mathematics, behavioral sciences, technology, computing, management, and history—to unravel how we can make more informed and effective choices. Through insights, anecdotes, and practical resources, this blog dives into concepts, processes, and tools to sharpen decision-making skills. Whether you’re curious about the psychology behind choices or looking to apply data-driven strategies in real life, join me on this journey toward making smarter, more confident decisions every day.
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Five Things I’m Sure About After Months of Vibing
TLDR After a decade of tracking my time, I added a new category this year: vibing. Claude Code, Cowork, and Codex are not coding tools. They are ways to instruct your computer in plain language. They are Bitcoin in 2019-2020. They are a signal, not noise. But they don’t do everything for you at one…
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A Framework for High-Stakes Decision-Making
In English TL;DR: The Process My Principles of Decision‑Making My Principles of Decision-Making A. The Foundation: Continuous Study I study every day. The goal is simple: to understand the world more accurately and make better decisions based on that understanding. This approach aligns closely with Decision Science. The cornerstone of this study is mathematics. One…
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Surviving AI: The Future of Learning and Work
The Career That Survives AI: Learning How to Learn (and Apply) I. Inequality is growing, and automation is accelerating—so preparation beats prediction. Anthropic’s latest Economic Index report confirms two trends I’ve been sensing: I can’t judge the whole world state, but I can prepare for what’s coming. II. Education & science sit right behind coding—AI…
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Three Ideas on the Enduring Power of Corporations
As Files As Texts English Three Ideas on the Enduring Power of Corporations The future of business is often framed in terms of technology and automation. However, when I apply a structured way of thinking to this topic, I reach a more fundamental conclusion: the corporate structure will become even more significant in the years…
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My Personal Perspective on AGI and ASI: AGI is when human-in-the-loop is a choice.
This article shares my personal definitions of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) and ASI (Artificial Super Intelligence) in a way that’s accessible to anyone — no technical background required. As one judge famously said about defining pornography: “I may not be able to define it precisely, but I know it when I see it.” That’s the…
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Some flowcharts on international taxation of U.S. persons
Subpart F and GILTI (Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income) More on Subpart F More on GILTI PFIC (Passive Foreign Investment Company) IC-DISC (Interest Charge Domestic International Sales Corporation) BEAT (Base Erosion and Anti-Abuse Tax)
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Insights to Decision 